{"id":971,"date":"2026-10-01T07:59:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T07:59:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.moore-czech.cz\/?p=971"},"modified":"2026-10-01T07:59:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T07:59:25","slug":"umela-inteligence-muze-do-roku-2030-pridat-ekonomice-az-32-hdp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.moore-czech.cz\/en\/umela-inteligence-muze-do-roku-2030-pridat-ekonomice-az-32-hdp\/","title":{"rendered":"Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 p\u0159idat ekonomice a\u017e 32 % HDP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ohro\u017een\u00e9 jsou znalostn\u00ed pozice. B\u00edl\u00fdm l\u00edme\u010dk\u016fm hroz\u00ed nezam\u011bstnanost jako v dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 recese. Manu\u00e1ln\u00ed pracovn\u00edci si polep\u0161\u00ed o t\u0159etinu.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 zv\u00fd\u0161it v m\u00edrn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt o 1,6 %, ve st\u0159edn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i o 8,3 % a o 32 % ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i extr\u00e9mn\u00edm. Vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 to z nov\u00e9 studie Anthropic Institute. Ve st\u0159edn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i je um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence v roce 2030 schopna vykon\u00e1vat polovinu ve\u0161ker\u00e9 znalostn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce, ekonomika roste dvojn\u00e1sobn\u00fdm tempem, mzdy znalostn\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f stagnuj\u00ed, zat\u00edmco ostatn\u00ed pracovn\u00edci si polep\u0161\u00ed. V extr\u00e9mn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence zvl\u00e1d\u00e1 samostatn\u011b 60% znalostn\u00edch \u00fakol\u016f, ekonomika roste o 15 % ro\u010dn\u011b, mzdy znalostn\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f v\u0161ak klesaj\u00ed o v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 % a nezam\u011bstnanost stoup\u00e1 nad recesn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148. Manu\u00e1ln\u00ed a provozn\u00ed profese si naopak polep\u0161\u00ed, v extr\u00e9mn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i maj\u00ed mzdy o 34 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed. Poradensk\u00e1 skupina Moore Czech Republic o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee n\u00e1b\u011bh i dopady budou v Evrop\u011b pozvoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, a to kv\u016fli regulaci a p\u0159\u00edsn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmu pracovn\u00edmu trhu.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Nejv\u00edce ohro\u017een\u00ed jsou pracovn\u00edci tzv. b\u00edl\u00e9 l\u00edme\u010dky<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V m\u00edrn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i<a href=\"\/\/8086C3F1-BCD6-4BF8-83C8-2B55CB2AED99#_ftn1\"><sup>[1]<\/sup><\/a>&nbsp;m\u00e1 um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence zhruba stejn\u00fd dopad, jak\u00fd m\u011bl v minulosti internet. HDP je o 1,6 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e bez um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence a nezam\u011bstnanost se dr\u017e\u00ed v obvykl\u00e9m rozmez\u00ed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ve st\u0159edn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i je um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence v roce 2030 schopna vykon\u00e1vat polovinu ve\u0161ker\u00e9 znalostn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce, ekonomika roste dvojn\u00e1sobn\u00fdm tempem a HDP je o 8,3 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed. Mzdy znalostn\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f stagnuj\u00ed, zat\u00edmco ostatn\u00ed pracovn\u00edci si polep\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V extr\u00e9mn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i je um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence produktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e lid\u00e9 u naprost\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161iny znalostn\u00edch \u00fakol\u016f a vykon\u00e1v\u00e1 je samostatn\u011b. HDP je o 32 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ro\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst dosahuje 15 % a ekonomika by se zdvojn\u00e1sobila ka\u017ed\u00fdch 4,5 roku. Mzdy znalostn\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f v\u0161ak klesaj\u00ed o v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 % a nezam\u011bstnanost stoup\u00e1 nad \u00farove\u0148 b\u011b\u017enou v recesi. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 by podle autor\u016f pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b vy\u017eadoval um\u011blou inteligenci, kter\u00e1 se dok\u00e1\u017ee sama zdokonalovat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Manu\u00e1ln\u00ed profese si polep\u0161\u00ed. Sestra ani elektrik\u00e1\u0159 se um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence b\u00e1t nemus\u00ed<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Opa\u010dn\u011b ne\u017e na znalostn\u00ed pozice dopad\u00e1 um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence podle studie na manu\u00e1ln\u00ed a provozn\u00ed profese, tedy na v\u00fdrobu, stavebnictv\u00ed, dopravu, instalace a opravy, zdravotnickou podporu, gastronomii nebo osobn\u00ed slu\u017eby. Tato skupina tvo\u0159\u00ed v americk\u00e9 ekonomice zhruba 38 % zam\u011bstnanosti a studie u n\u00ed p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence produktivitu jejich pr\u00e1ce p\u0159\u00edmo neovlivn\u00ed. Ve v\u0161ech t\u0159ech sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch si proto tito pracovn\u00edci polep\u0161\u00ed. R\u016fst pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch mezd se soust\u0159ed\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b mimo znalostn\u00ed pr\u00e1ci a nezam\u011bstnanost v t\u011bchto profes\u00edch kles\u00e1. V extr\u00e9mn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i jsou mzdy manu\u00e1ln\u00edch a provozn\u00edch profes\u00ed v roce 2030 o 34 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e by byly bez um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>D\u016fvodem je, \u017ee rychlej\u0161\u00ed a levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed znalostn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce zvy\u0161uje v\u00fdstup cel\u00e9 ekonomiky a s n\u00edm i popt\u00e1vku po fyzick\u00e9 pr\u00e1ci, kterou um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence neum\u00ed. Nejl\u00e9to je vid\u011bt na stavebnictv\u00ed, kde rychlej\u0161\u00ed projektov\u00e1n\u00ed a povolov\u00e1n\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed po\u010det staveb a t\u00edm i popt\u00e1vku po stavebn\u00edch d\u011bln\u00edc\u00edch. P\u0159echod znalostn\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f do t\u011bchto obor\u016f v\u0161ak bude pomal\u00fd, proto\u017ee program\u00e1tor se podle autor\u016f nestane elektrik\u00e1\u0159em nebo zdravotn\u00ed sestrou ze dne na den. Na druhou stran zat\u00edm st\u00e1le nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1me s&nbsp;n\u00e1stupem vysp\u011bl\u00e9 robotiky,\u201c&nbsp;<\/em>\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Radovan Hauk, partner poradensk\u00e9 skupiny Moore Czech Republic..<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>O tempu rozhodne nasazen\u00ed, ne schopnosti technologie<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Spole\u010dn\u00fdm jmenovatelem v\u0161ech sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f je rozd\u00edl mezi t\u00edm, co technologie um\u00ed, a t\u00edm, jak ji firmy skute\u010dn\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed. Studie pracuje s parametrem roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00fd vyjad\u0159uje, u jak\u00e9ho pod\u00edlu \u00fakol\u016f dostupn\u00fdch pro um\u011blou inteligenci je technologie v roce 2030 skute\u010dn\u011b nasazena. V m\u00edrn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i jde o 20 %, ve st\u0159edn\u00edm o 40 % a v extr\u00e9mn\u00edm o 60 %. Ani v nejrychlej\u0161\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i tedy firmy nevyu\u017eij\u00ed um\u011blou inteligenci naplno. Auto\u0159i z\u00e1rove\u0148 upozor\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee dopady na trh pr\u00e1ce jsou v dosavadn\u00edch makroekonomick\u00fdch datech relativn\u011b tlumen\u00e9, p\u0159esto\u017ee m\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence rychle roste. Sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed studie je i pr\u016fzkum mezi 10 980 Ameri\u010dany. Odpov\u011bdi typick\u00e9ho respondenta odpov\u00eddaj\u00ed st\u0159edn\u00edmu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, tedy HDP o zhruba 10 % vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu a nezam\u011bstnanosti kolem 5 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Studie potvrzuje to, co vid\u00edme u klient\u016f. Technologie je dnes d\u00e1l ne\u017e firmy, kter\u00e9 ji maj\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edvat. Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed nen\u00ed, co um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence dok\u00e1\u017ee v&nbsp;kontrolovan\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed, ale kolik proces\u016f ve firm\u011b skute\u010dn\u011b zm\u011bn\u00ed. Tento rozd\u00edl je v Evrop\u011b je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, a proto o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, \u017ee n\u00e1b\u011bh i dopady budou u n\u00e1s pozvoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed,\u201c<\/em>&nbsp;\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Radovan Hauk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Evropa p\u016fjde pomaleji. Zpomaluje ji regulace i pracovn\u00ed trh<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Studie modeluje v\u00fdhradn\u011b americkou ekonomiku a v\u00fdslovn\u011b ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed reakce hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky ani regulaci. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tyto faktory p\u0159itom podle Moore Czech Republic v Evrop\u011b tempo zm\u011bn zpomal\u00ed. Evropsk\u00e9 na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed o um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligenci (AI Act) postupn\u011b zav\u00e1d\u00ed povinnosti pro poskytovatele i u\u017eivatele syst\u00e9m\u016f um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence, od transparentnosti a\u017e po p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e9 po\u017eadavky na vysoce rizikov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, a firmy mus\u00ed nasazen\u00ed sladit tak\u00e9 s ochranou osobn\u00edch \u00fadaj\u016f. Druhou brzdou je pracovn\u00ed trh. Evropsk\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo poskytuje zam\u011bstnanc\u016fm v\u00fdrazn\u011b siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ochranu ne\u017e americk\u00e9, a\u0165 u\u017e jde o v\u00fdpov\u011bdn\u00ed lh\u016fty, odstupn\u00e9 nebo roli odbor\u016f. Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, ve kter\u00fdch se pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsta rychle p\u0159esouvaj\u00ed mezi obory, proto v Evrop\u011b nemohou prob\u00edhat stejn\u00fdm tempem jako ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Data z \u010desk\u00e9ho trhu tomu odpov\u00eddaj\u00ed. Podle leto\u0161n\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu Ipsos pro Moore Czech Republic pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 um\u011blou inteligenci 59 % \u010desk\u00fdch firem, ale 58 % z nich ji nasadilo pouze v jedin\u00e9 oblasti, nej\u010dast\u011bji v administrativ\u011b nebo v marketingu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Pomalej\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1b\u011bh v Evrop\u011b nen\u00ed nutn\u011b nev\u00fdhoda. Firmy z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u010das p\u0159ipravit lidi i procesy a vyhnout se chyb\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 ostatn\u00ed ud\u011blaj\u00ed v rychlosti. Podm\u00ednkou ale je, \u017ee ten \u010das skute\u010dn\u011b vyu\u017eij\u00ed. Regulace nasazen\u00ed zpomal\u00ed, ale nezastav\u00ed ho. Kdo bude \u010dekat, a\u017e se pravidla usad\u00ed, ztrat\u00ed n\u00e1skok, kter\u00fd mu evropsk\u00fd r\u00e1mec paradoxn\u011b nab\u00edz\u00ed,\u201c<\/em>&nbsp;dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Radovan Hauk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Cena praxe poroste. Vybrat spr\u00e1vn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 a zav\u00e9st ho nikdo za firmu neud\u011bl\u00e1<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rozptyl mezi sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i ukazuje, jak m\u00e1lo je budouc\u00ed v\u00fdvoj d\u00e1n samotnou technologi\u00ed a jak moc ho ur\u010duje to, jak s n\u00ed firmy nalo\u017e\u00ed. Studie pracuje s t\u00edm, \u017ee um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee \u00fakoly nahradit, m\u016f\u017ee lidem pomoci d\u011blat je l\u00e9pe a rychleji, nebo m\u016f\u017ee vytvo\u0159it \u00fakoly zcela nov\u00e9. Kter\u00fd z t\u011bchto efekt\u016f ve firm\u011b p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017e\u00ed, z\u00e1vis\u00ed na tom, jak\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e vyu\u017eit\u00ed si vybere a jak je zavede. Podle Moore Czech Republic proto poroste v\u00fdznam praktick\u00fdch zku\u0161enost\u00ed. Vybrat spr\u00e1vn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 a spr\u00e1vn\u011b ho implementovat vy\u017eaduje znalost oboru, proces\u016f i lid\u00ed, kterou nelze z\u00edskat jinak ne\u017e prax\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Model\u016f a n\u00e1stroj\u016f bude p\u0159ib\u00fdvat. Cen\u011bn\u00e1 bude schopnost poznat, kter\u00fd proces m\u00e1 smysl um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligenci sv\u011b\u0159it, kter\u00fd jen podpo\u0159it a kter\u00fd nechat b\u00fdt, a pak to skute\u010dn\u011b dot\u00e1hnout do provozu. To se ned\u00e1 nau\u010dit z prezentace ani z manu\u00e1lu. Je to zku\u0161enost, kter\u00e1 vznik\u00e1 jen t\u00edm, \u017ee \u010dlov\u011bk podobn\u00fd projekt u\u017e d\u011blal, vid\u011bl a pro\u0161el re\u00e1lnou prax\u00ed. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato praxe bude v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch letech nenahraditeln\u00e1 a kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1,\u201c<\/em>&nbsp;vysv\u011btluje Radovan Hauk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Hroz\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstek p\u0159ipadne kapit\u00e1lu, ne lidem<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Studie upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee ve v\u0161ech sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch ekonomika roste, v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstku ale m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ipadnout kapit\u00e1lu. Pod\u00edl pr\u00e1ce na n\u00e1rodn\u00edm d\u016fchodu kles\u00e1 z v\u00fdchoz\u00edch 60 % na 59,4 % v m\u00edrn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, na 56,1 % ve st\u0159edn\u00edm a na 45,2 % v extr\u00e9mn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i. Auto\u0159i uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee zm\u011bna profese je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e1 a mnoha lidem trv\u00e1 dlouho, ne\u017e najdou nov\u00e9 m\u00edsto. Hlavn\u00ed v\u00fdzvou podle nich nen\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout r\u016fstu, ale zajistit, aby se jeho p\u0159\u00ednosy \u0161iroce sd\u00edlely a n\u00e1klady nenesla jen \u010d\u00e1st spole\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Pro firmy z toho plyne jasn\u00fd \u00fakol. Investice do lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed um\u00ed s um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed pracovat a kriticky hodnotit jej\u00ed v\u00fdstupy, nen\u00ed n\u00e1klad, ale podm\u00ednka toho, aby firma z technologie v\u016fbec n\u011bco m\u011bla. Rekvalifikace a pr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed se stanou samoz\u0159ejmost\u00ed a firmy, kter\u00e9 s t\u00edm za\u010dnou d\u0159\u00edv, budou m\u00edt n\u00e1skok,\u201c<\/em>&nbsp;dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Radovan Hauk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Druh\u00e1 strana mince. Co um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence ud\u011bl\u00e1 s ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi rozpo\u010dty<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Studie se zam\u011b\u0159uje na HDP, mzdy a zam\u011bstnanost, dopady na ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty ale ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed a reakce hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky v\u00fdslovn\u011b ponech\u00e1v\u00e1 stranou. Pr\u00e1v\u011b v t\u00e9to oblasti se p\u0159itom podle Moore Czech Republic rozd\u00edl mezi Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Evropou projev\u00ed nejv\u00edce. Evropsk\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9my stoj\u00ed na zdan\u011bn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce, tedy na pojistn\u00e9m a dani z p\u0159\u00edjmu, z nich\u017e se financuj\u00ed d\u016fchody i zdravotnictv\u00ed. Ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch, kde pod\u00edl pr\u00e1ce na n\u00e1rodn\u00edm d\u016fchodu kles\u00e1 z 60 % a\u017e na 45 % a roste nezam\u011bstnanost znalostn\u00edch pracovn\u00edk\u016f, tyto p\u0159\u00edjmy klesaj\u00ed, zat\u00edmco p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstek p\u0159ipad\u00e1 kapit\u00e1lu, kter\u00fd je zdan\u011bn jinak a zpravidla m\u00e9n\u011b. Anthropic v doprovodn\u00e9m dokumentu k hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politice z \u010dervna 2026 po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 pro p\u0159\u00edpad v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dopad\u016f s roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm podpory v nezam\u011bstnanosti, s mzdov\u00fdm poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm pro propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 a s hled\u00e1n\u00edm nov\u00fdch da\u0148ov\u00fdch z\u00e1klad\u016f, nap\u0159\u00edklad zdan\u011bn\u00edm kapit\u00e1lov\u00fdch v\u00fdnos\u016f, spot\u0159eby nebo odvody z vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V \u010cesku se tento efekt nav\u00edc potk\u00e1 s demografick\u00fdm deficitem. Podle propo\u010dt\u016f Moore Czech Republic bude na tuzemsk\u00e9m trhu pr\u00e1ce do roku 2045 chyb\u011bt t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u016fl milionu lid\u00ed, co\u017e st\u00e1t ka\u017ed\u00fd rok p\u0159iprav\u00ed o p\u0159\u00edjmy ve v\u00fd\u0161i zhruba 1,86 % HDP a dal\u0161\u00edch 1,46 % HDP vyd\u00e1 nav\u00edc na starobn\u00edch d\u016fchodech. Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee \u010d\u00e1st chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly nahradit, zejm\u00e9na ve znalostn\u00edch profes\u00edch. Pro ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty to ale v\u00fdpadek ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee pr\u00e1ci, kterou zastane software, st\u00e1t nezdan\u00ed stejn\u011b jako pr\u00e1ci \u010dlov\u011bka.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201e<em>Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence je pro \u010cesko z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost i rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 riziko. M\u016f\u017ee n\u00e1m pomoci zaplnit \u010d\u00e1st z p\u016fl milionu lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed budou do roku 2045 na trhu pr\u00e1ce chyb\u011bt. Ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 rozpo\u010dty jsou ale postaven\u00e9 na zdan\u011bn\u00ed pr\u00e1ce. Ka\u017ed\u00e9 obsazen\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed m\u00edsto dnes p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1tu na odvodech a dan\u00edch zhruba 465 tis\u00edc korun ro\u010dn\u011b. Kdy\u017e stejnou pr\u00e1ci p\u0159evezme software, tyto pen\u00edze do rozpo\u010dtu nep\u0159ijdou, zat\u00edmco zisk z technologie se dan\u00ed jinak a \u010dasto jinde. V Evrop\u011b, kde z odvod\u016f financujeme d\u016fchody i zdravotnictv\u00ed, je tento dopad podstatn\u011b citeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Rekvalifikace jsou nutn\u00e9, ale samy o sob\u011b nesta\u010d\u00ed. Bude se muset otev\u0159\u00edt i debata, z \u010deho budeme financovat d\u016fchodov\u00fd a zdravotn\u00ed syst\u00e9m, a\u017e \u010d\u00e1st pr\u00e1ce zastane kapit\u00e1l,\u201c<\/em>&nbsp;uzav\u00edr\u00e1 Marcela Hrd\u00e1, partnerka poradensk\u00e9 skupiny Moore Czech Republic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>O studii<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Studii Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI (Working Paper No. 2026-02) publikoval v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2026 Anthropic Institute. Autory jsou Anton Korinek, Charles I. Jones, Szymon Sacher, Tess Cotter a Peter McCrory. Studie modeluje v\u00fdvoj americk\u00e9 ekonomiky v letech 2026 a\u017e 2030 a je dopln\u011bna pr\u016fzkumem mezi 10 980 dosp\u011bl\u00fdmi Ameri\u010dany. Dostupn\u00e1 je na www.anthropic.com\/institute\/econ-scenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"\/\/8086C3F1-BCD6-4BF8-83C8-2B55CB2AED99#_ftnref1\"><sup>[1]<\/sup><\/a>&nbsp;Studii Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI publikoval v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2026 t\u00fdm ekonom\u016f Anthropic Institute, mezi jej\u00edmi autory jsou Anton Korinek a Charles I. Jones. Studie modeluje v\u00fdvoj americk\u00e9 ekonomiky do roku 2030 ve t\u0159ech sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ohro\u017een\u00e9 jsou znalostn\u00ed pozice. B\u00edl\u00fdm l\u00edme\u010dk\u016fm hroz\u00ed nezam\u011bstnanost jako v dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 recese. Manu\u00e1ln\u00ed pracovn\u00edci si polep\u0161\u00ed o t\u0159etinu. Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 zv\u00fd\u0161it v m\u00edrn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt o 1,6 %, ve st\u0159edn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i o 8,3 % a o 32 % ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i extr\u00e9mn\u00edm. Vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 to z nov\u00e9 studie Anthropic Institute. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":972,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"location":[],"class_list":["post-971","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tiskova-zprava"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 p\u0159idat ekonomice a\u017e 32 % HDP - Moore Czech Republic<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.moore-czech.cz\/en\/umela-inteligence-muze-do-roku-2030-pridat-ekonomice-az-32-hdp\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 p\u0159idat ekonomice a\u017e 32 % HDP - Moore Czech Republic\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ohro\u017een\u00e9 jsou znalostn\u00ed pozice. B\u00edl\u00fdm l\u00edme\u010dk\u016fm hroz\u00ed nezam\u011bstnanost jako v dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 recese. Manu\u00e1ln\u00ed pracovn\u00edci si polep\u0161\u00ed o t\u0159etinu. Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 zv\u00fd\u0161it v m\u00edrn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt o 1,6 %, ve st\u0159edn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i o 8,3 % a o 32 % ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i extr\u00e9mn\u00edm. Vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 to z nov\u00e9 studie Anthropic Institute. 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Moore Czech Republic","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.moore-czech.cz\/en\/umela-inteligence-muze-do-roku-2030-pridat-ekonomice-az-32-hdp\/","og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 p\u0159idat ekonomice a\u017e 32 % HDP - Moore Czech Republic","og_description":"Ohro\u017een\u00e9 jsou znalostn\u00ed pozice. B\u00edl\u00fdm l\u00edme\u010dk\u016fm hroz\u00ed nezam\u011bstnanost jako v dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 recese. Manu\u00e1ln\u00ed pracovn\u00edci si polep\u0161\u00ed o t\u0159etinu. Um\u011bl\u00e1 inteligence m\u016f\u017ee do roku 2030 zv\u00fd\u0161it v m\u00edrn\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt o 1,6 %, ve st\u0159edn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i o 8,3 % a o 32 % ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i extr\u00e9mn\u00edm. Vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 to z nov\u00e9 studie Anthropic Institute. 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